Keystone XL pipeline supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

The proposed Keystone XL pipeline took a step forward this month, as the U.S. State Department released its evaluation of the project's potential environmental impacts.  The draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) released on March 1, 2013 documents the State Department's analysis of the pipeline's impacts to environmental resources based on the currently proposed route.  The EIS is still preliminary, and is now subject to public comment.  Moreover, even a final EIS would not reach any conclusion as to whether the pipeline serves the national public interest, and the project would still need a presidential permit to ship oil across the US-Canadian border.  Nevertheless the draft EIS does suggest that any environmental impacts from the pipeline would be relatively minor.

The Keystone XL project is a proposed extension of an existing crude oil pipeline.  The $7 billion project would run from the Canadian province of Alberta to Texas, delivering Canadian crude to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast.  The oil shipped on the pipeline would likely include so-called synthetic crude derived from Canada's oil sands or "tar sands" resources.

The draft EIS (available from the State Department's website) makes a series of findings about the project's potential environmental impacts, ranging from direct impacts along the pipeline's route to indirect impacts like further development of the Alberta oil sands.  As the State Department found in its earlier environmental review, the supplemental EIS found that the pipeline would not have significant impacts to any resources along the proposed project route.

Notably, the draft EIS found that Keystone XL would not be likely to substantially increase the rate of development of the oil sands, nor would it likely increase the volume of crude oil refined in the Gulf Coast.  For example, the draft found that denial of the pipeline's presidential permit would not mean a reduction in oil production in Western Canada or from the Bakken formation; rather, oil producers would resort to other transportation modes such as pipelines to British Columbia or even rail shipment of crude.  For similar reasons, the draft EIS found that the Keystone XL pipeline would not substantively change global greenhouse gas emissions.

Next steps for the Keystone XL project include a 45-day public comment period, after which the State Department will issue a final EIS.  Later this year, the State Department is expected to issue a so-called national interest determination, considering factors including foreign policy, economics, environmental concerns, and national security. This determination will involve consultation with other agencies, including the U.S. Departments of Defense, Justice, Interior, Commerce, Transportation, Energy, Homeland Security and the Environmental Protection Agency.  The final decision whether to allow the pipeline falls to President Obama.

Shell announces LNG plants for transportation sector

Energy company Royal Dutch Shell PLC has announced plans to build two liquified natural gas (LNG) plants in North America to produce fuel for marine and heavy-duty on-road transportation.

Shell, a global group of energy and petrochemicals companies, may be most famous for its roadside gas stations, but also operates businesses in crude oil and natural gas production, refining, marketing, and research and development. According to a press release issued yesterday, Shell and its affiliates now plan to develop two liquefaction units to turn natural gas into LNG.

By cooling natural gas to around -260°F, it can be liquefied.  The resulting LNG takes up significantly less volume than the gas did, making it easier to ship and store.  Unlike gas taken directly off a pipeline, LNG can also be used as a mobile fuel source for transportation.  Compared to oil-based fuels such as diesel and gasoline, LNG can be less expensive and may create fewer emissions of carbon dioxide and pollutants.

Shell's newly announced plants will be built in Geismar, Louisiana and Sarnia, Ontario, Canada.  The Geismar plant will supply LNG along the Mississippi River, the Intra-Coastal Waterway and to the offshore Gulf of Mexico and the onshore oil and gas exploration areas of Texas and Louisiana.  Shell is partnering with companies including subsidiaries of Martin Resource Management Corporation and Edison Chouest Offshore to supply LNG fuel to marine vessels that operate in the Gulf of Mexico.  Under Shell's vision, LNG produced at Geismar will be barged to Port Fourchon, Louisiana, where it will be bunkered into customer vessels.  Shell also announced plans for a similar liquefaction unit at its Shell Sarnia Manufacturing Centre in Sarnia, Ontario, Canada.  The Sarnia project is designed to supply LNG fuel to all five Great Lakes, their bordering U.S. states and Canadian provinces and the St. Lawrence Seaway.

Each facility will be relatively small-scale, capable of producing 250,000 tons of gas per year. According to Shell, pending final regulatory permitting, the liquefaction units may begin operations and production in about three years.  Shell is currently developing a similar gas processing facility in Alberta, Canada, and plans to sell LNG at truck stops in that province.

Several years ago, energy companies rushed to develop LNG import terminals in the U.S. to increase supplies of natural gas in the interstate pipeline system.  Hydraulic fracturing and the resulting development of feasible production of domestic natural gas from shale resources turned LNG imports' economics on their heads.  Now that natural gas in most of the U.S. is significantly cheaper than imported LNG, companies like Cheniere Energy Inc. are now seeking to export LNG to other countries.  Domestic use of LNG in the transportation sector represents an alternative way for energy companies to profit from the shale gas boom.

Hurricane Sandy prompts Jones Act waiver

Hurricane Sandy's disruption of petroleum shipments and refining has led Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano to issue a temporary waiver allowing foreign oil tankers to enter ports in the northeastern United States.

The Jones Act, a federal law enacted as part of the Merchant Marine Act of 1920, limits who may carry on coastal shipping between domestic ports.  This so-called cabotage law generally requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried in U.S.-flag ships, constructed in the United States, owned by U.S. citizens, and crewed by U.S. citizens and U.S. permanent residents.

Hurricane Sandy's impacts to northeastern energy infrastructure included disruption of oil and gasoline supplies in the area near New York City and New Jersey.  Between reduced supply and concentrated demand, gasoline is reported to be in shortage conditions.  Long lines are reported at gas stations, and demand at some stations has led them to run out of gasoline. 

In an attempt to alleviate the shortage, today Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano issued a temporary, blanket waiver of the Jones Act.  The waiver is designed to allow foreign-flagged oil tankers, that would otherwise be barred from the U.S. coastwise trade, to ship petroleum products from the Gulf of Mexico to Northeastern ports.  The waiver will remain operative through November 13th.

Hurricane Isaac disrupts Gulf energy production

Hurricane Isaac has already disrupted energy production in the Gulf of Mexico -- and is likely to cause further damage when it makes landfall late tonight or tomorrow morning.

As I noted yesterday, the storm's path across the Gulf as Tropical Storm Isaac has already caused most oil and natural gas producers in the Gulf to shut in their wells; temporarily halting the production of these fuels from the Gulf.  As of yesterday, producers had shut in 78% of Gulf oil production and 48% percent of natural gas production.  Data released today by the federal Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement shows about 93.28% of the current daily oil production in the Gulf of Mexico has been shut-in, as has about 66.7% of the current daily natural gas production in the Gulf.

Offshore hydrocarbon resources in the Gulf of Mexico play a significant role in U.S. fuel production.  According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), about 23% of all U.S. crude oil production comes from the Gulf, as does about 7% of U.S. dry natural gas production.

Subject to tropical storms and hurricanes, Gulf oil and gas production is periodically interrupted due to severe weather.  For example, EIA data shows that at its peak, 2005's Hurricane Katrina caused producers to shut in 539,074 barrels of oil production per day -- about half the amount of shut-in production as Tropical Storm Isaac caused yesterday.  EIA data also shows that up to 3,228 cubic feet per day of natural gas production was shut in as a result of Katrina, or about one-and-a-half times as much gas per day as has been shut in due to Isaac so far.  Four months after Katrina hit, 2,155 oil and gas wells, or 36.2 percent of the wells in the region, reportedly remained shut-in and incapable of producing.  Understanding the full comparative impact of these storms will require knowing when the production shut-in by Isaac can come back online, but it is clear that Hurricane Isaac is a force to be reckoned with.

Previous storms, such as Hurricane Katrina, also caused significant damage to onshore energy infrastructure like oil refineries.  At its peak, Katrina reportedly caused 4.5 million barrels per day of refining capacity to be shuttered; four months later, refinery shutdowns in the Gulf of Mexico region still totaled 367,000 barrels per day.

In preparation for Hurricane Isaac's landfall, several large Gulf Coast refineries have announced closures, with estimates suggesting a total of 1.1 million barrels per day of shutdown refining capacity or about half of the refining in the storm's path.  While Isaac is expected to remain a Category 1 hurricane, and thus may pack less of a punch than Category 3 Katrina, Isaac's impending landfall comes swiftly on the heels of a significant refinery explosion and fire in Venezuela.  Consumers can expect gasoline prices to trend higher in the near term.

Tropical Storm Isaac threatens energy production in Gulf

Tropical Storm Isaac is bearing down on the U.S. Gulf Coast -- and whether or not it becomes Hurricane Isaac, the storm is already impacting energy production across the Gulf of Mexico.

Satellite image of Tropical Storm Isaac, courtesy of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Isaac is currently about 300 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi River and is expected to become a hurricane before reaching the northern Gulf Coast late Tuesday.  Concern over human and environmental safety has led oil and gas production and drilling companies to pull their personnel off remote structures in the Gulf.  According to the federal Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement or BSEE, personnel have been evacuated from 346 production platforms across the Gulf of Mexico -- more than half of the 596 manned platforms in the Gulf.  Personnel have also been evacuated from 41 out of the 76 exploration and drilling rigs currently operating in the Gulf.

When production platforms and drilling rigs are evacuated, companies are required to close safety valves located below the surface of the ocean floor to prevent the release of oil or gas. This "shut-in" process is designed to protect the environment, but it has obvious consequences for the production of energy resources like oil and gas.  The BSEE estimates that 1,076,642 barrels of oil production per day has been shut-in as a result of Isaac (about 78.02 percent of the current daily oil production in the Gulf of Mexico), as has 2,165.94 million cubic feet per day of natural gas production (about 48.13 percent of the current daily natural gas production in the Gulf).

Provided the storm leaves Gulf production and drilling assets unharmed, these platforms and rigs may resume operations after the storm has passed (and after they have passed inspection).  But the disruption to offshore petroleum and natural gas production will already have affected the markets, driving short-term prices upward.

Particularly if it intensifies into Hurricane Isaac, Tropical Storm Isaac may also damage onshore energy assets, ranging from local electric distribution lines to major transmission lines, and from distributed generation projects like rooftop solar panels to utility-scale nuclear or other power plants.  Wind, rain, flooding, and a significant storm surge of 6 to 12 feet are all expected for southeast Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

NOAA forecasts call for the storm to have passed New Orleans by Thursday, by which time the extent of any damage may begin to be apparent -- and the process of restoration and recovery will begin.